Thought Series

2019: Third Quarter Wrap
It has been 3 months since our “2019: Second Quarter Wrap”. Now that the 3rd Quarter is over, let’s see where we are: Starting with the U.S.: The yield curve may not be the best predictor of a recession... The Fed’s trillion-dollar balance sheet has put downward pressure on the...
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2019: Second Quarter Wrap
It has been 3 months since our “Welcome 2019: First Quarter Wrap”. Now that the 2nd Quarter is over, let’s see where we are: Starting with the U.S.: A mix bag of economic and corporate data Research indicates that the U.S. economy will grow 2.7% this year (1.7% to 20%...
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Welcome 2019: First Quarter Wrap
It has been 3 months since our year end macro wrap and 2019 outlook “Farewell 2018: Welcome 2019”. So, let’s see where we are: Starting with the US: The 2018 fourth-quarter GDP report (which was delayed due to the partial government shutdown) was released by the Commerce Department. GDP growth...
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Reduce your tax on Debt investments by over 70%!
It's the time of the year when our C.A. starts chasing us for “tax planning”. Where have you done the investments and what deductions can you get? This should have ideally been raised in December, but then that is rarely the case. Some of the short term fixes available to...
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Financial Management…as much for women as for men
Warwick Business School did an interesting study – Are women better investors than men? An analysis of 2,800 investors found that not only did the female investors outperform the FTSE 100 over the three year study period, but they also outshone their male counterparts. While annual returns on investments for men...
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Farewell 2018 : Welcome 2019
The market feels really bad..and the feeling is correct. A lot of people have tried to give it a name: A bear? A roiling bear in a cyclical bull? A pull back? A correction. No matter what you call it, it isn’t fun. Let’s start with the US: There is...
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Oil: A Quick Perspective
In September 1960, the Organisation for Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) was created; OPEC became the world’s biggest oil producer and Texas lost control of oil price. When OPEC demanded gold in payment, the U.S. was forced to abandon the connection between the dollar and gold. The U.S. economy was hit with soaring energy prices,...
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